August 3, 2021

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Latest updated blog – Staying quiet for Monday – Nick – KOAM

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Good Sunday evening, everyone. While our Sunday stayed quiet across the area, we had a bit of an interesting start to the day. The moisture we picked up from our systems around New Year’s and the snow we had on Saturday left quite a bit of moisture on the ground. That meant a couple nights and early mornings of dense fog across much of the region. We saw that once again today before we saw temperatures rebound nicely. Once we were able to get out of the upper 20s, we burned off the fog and saw the sunshine bring us back into the lower 50s for highs at Joplin Regional.

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The overall jet stream setup has us relatively quiet as we head into first full work week of 2021. Although we had a quick upper-level wave pass us by, all it did was bring in some cloud cover that didn’t put a damper on our nice afternoon. Off to our west, we have an upper-level ridge waiting to slide in and push us back near 50 and into the lower 50s for the next few days.

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Beyond the incoming ridge, though, we have our eyes focused on what’s going on in the Pacific. While a parent low is sitting and spinning in the Gulf of Alaska, this will send a wave our way to change our weather up by Wednesday.

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Before we see that ridge sneak in for a few days, we still have moisture on the ground from Saturday’s snow and from the systems that came through during the New Year holiday. That moisture is working together with temperatures near the dew point and a light breeze to lead to another foggy night. Dense fog advisories are in place for southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri until 9 AM Monday due to the returning fog potentially dropping visibilities down to a quarter of a mile or less in spots.

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Otherwise, we’ll stay quiet and cold with some cloud cover trying to pass on through from the west overnight. While Joplin bottoms out in the lower 30s for Monday morning, some outlying areas could sneak back into the upper 20s before the AM drive gets going.

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Like the fog from this morning, the fog will burn away once we get past 9 or 10 AM. With skies turning partly to mostly sunny for the afternoon, we’ll see everyone in the lower to middle 40s around lunchtime and into the upper 40s for the afternoon.

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For Tuesday, the center of the upper-level ridge sneaks in. This is going to lead to a nice Tuesday afternoon once we get past another cold start.

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While it’s possible we could see some patchy fog for Tuesday morning, we’re looking at a quiet Tuesday morning with partly cloudy skies and lows in the upper 20s.

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Even with partly sunny skies in the forecast for Tuesday, we stay dry and we’ll see temperatures back into the lower to middle 50s for afternoon highs across the region.

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The partly sunny skies in the works for Tuesday will hint at our next storm system on the way for Wednesday. As it works in, we’ll turn cloudy for the day and see this system kick off rain chances across much of the region. With this setup, we’re expecting highs in the middle 40s for the day.

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As the low works over us and starts scooting off to our southeast on Thursday, we’ll watch for colder air to work in throughout the day. With early temperatures starting in the lower 40s and turning colder through the day, we’ll see if we can get cold enough for some snow to mix in with our rain chances for Thursday. While early indications show very minor wintry accumulations, we’ll keep an eye on this system over the next few days.

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Once it clears out, we’ll stay quiet but mostly cloudy for Friday and Saturday with highs struggling to get out of the upper 30s Have a look at the jet setup for this coming Saturday, though.

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Sticking with Doug’s pattern, we’ll watch for a system to pass just to our south. However, it wants to pass close enough to give us some snow showers as we stay cold for next Sunday. If you’re curious as to how we look for the rest of the month, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below.

Have a good night and a great Monday!

Nick

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Next Monday-Saturday: Staying cool through the week with rain and snow chances on Tuesday and Wednesday, then again slight chances by the weekend.

January 17th-23rd:  A cold first half of the week with mild temperatures the second half of the week.  Rain and snow chances on Sunday and Monday.  Rain chances back in by Friday and Saturday.

January 24th-30th:  A mild start with rain on Monday, then turning colder with rain, snow or ice by Tuesday.  Staying cold the rest of the week with snow chances on Thursday.

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